Market Intelligence

Cross asset volatility: Time for a new explosion?
The short positioning in VIX is heavier than prior to the February and October sell-offs, which is why we are…
The short positioning in VIX is heavier than prior to…
Gold Crashes
Gold is falling hard today and surprising many. Our logic over past weeks is that gold is basically the “wrong”…
Gold is falling hard today and surprising many. Our logic…
China – Mind the Gap
As we have been outlining for months, the single most important driver of the Chinese equity markets is nothing else…
As we have been outlining for months, the single most…
Emerging Markets Crash
A few days ago, we outlined our logic for the possible “fluid” situation that was possibly about to hit the…
A few days ago, we outlined our logic for the…
Dear Mr Powell…
The Fed delivered on all points in March, scaling back QT earlier than expected and much more. The now-official liquidity…
The Fed delivered on all points in March, scaling back…
When?
Below chart continues to show one of the most important global divergences. The SPX versus the US 10-year yield. When…
Below chart continues to show one of the most important…
Emerging Markets Volatility Next on the Radar?
The global investor has enjoyed the bounce as well as the implosion of volatility. The problem with imploding volatilities is…
The global investor has enjoyed the bounce as well as…
After the Sell Off…
In our post from March 15th we wrote a short note, after having had a “classical” conversation with a fund…
In our post from March 15th we wrote a short…
Inflationism
“For the merchant, even honesty is a financial speculation.” – Charles Baudelaire Watching with interest the Fed’s additional dovishness with…
“For the merchant, even honesty is a financial speculation.” –…
We Warned You!
What a few days difference can make. On Tuesday we wrote: It does not matter what global asset you pick,…
What a few days difference can make. On Tuesday we…
(Mighty) DAX as the Canary in the Coalmine?
A few days ago, in our post “Achtung Baby”, we warned about Germany as the weak link of Europe as…
A few days ago, in our post “Achtung Baby”, we…
What are Earnings Calls and How to Prepare, Listen and Analyze Them
With earnings hitting the tapes we give you some insight regarding the Earnings call. Almost all publicly listed companies have…
With earnings hitting the tapes we give you some insight…
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